Antifragile
Posted: Wed Apr 24, 2013 6:31 am
I'm about a third of the way in, it's occasionally interesting but getting quite repetitive.
Taleb seems remarkably impressed with himself, seeing things Aristotle (and 2600 years of study on Aristotle) did not, though I find some of his assertions questionable and quite often he shapes theoretical events to his needs.
His early premise comparing the antifragility of a taxi-driver and the fragility of office work rests on the (specious, IMO) assumption that both pay roughly the same over time. If you're a low-level clerk, I suppose this is true but as a rule office work is chosen because it offers visibly superior benefits/pay to taxi-driving. Not to mention that an oil crisis makes the driver's bottom line weak.
Another, off the top of my head, is that Europe enjoyed "a century of relative peace" prior to WW I, which stoked the boiler that led to the Great War. That century included the tail of Napoleon, the Crimean War, German and Italian unification, the Franco-Prussian War and only a few years prior the Sino-Russian war - by his argument, these small wars should have been the variability that forestalled the massive war.
Taleb seems remarkably impressed with himself, seeing things Aristotle (and 2600 years of study on Aristotle) did not, though I find some of his assertions questionable and quite often he shapes theoretical events to his needs.
His early premise comparing the antifragility of a taxi-driver and the fragility of office work rests on the (specious, IMO) assumption that both pay roughly the same over time. If you're a low-level clerk, I suppose this is true but as a rule office work is chosen because it offers visibly superior benefits/pay to taxi-driving. Not to mention that an oil crisis makes the driver's bottom line weak.
Another, off the top of my head, is that Europe enjoyed "a century of relative peace" prior to WW I, which stoked the boiler that led to the Great War. That century included the tail of Napoleon, the Crimean War, German and Italian unification, the Franco-Prussian War and only a few years prior the Sino-Russian war - by his argument, these small wars should have been the variability that forestalled the massive war.