Gun Control Doesn't Work
Posted: Fri Dec 28, 2012 1:59 pm
"...overflowing with foulmouthed ignorance."
http://www.irongarmx.net/phpbbdev/
From the article
A sample size of 117 is so small, identifying real trends is a joke. Meanwhile, In those two years, we had...out of 117 gun homicides in the two years following the 1996 National Firearms Agreement used a registered gun.
So we had about 12,000 gun homicides in one year to their 117 in two years.In 1996 (the most recent year for which data are available), 34,040 people died from gunfire in the United States. Of these deaths, approximately 54 percent resulted from suicide, 41 percent resulted from homicide, and 3 percent were unintentional (see figure 2). Firearm injuries are the eighth leading cause of death in the United States. In addition, for every fatal shooting, there are roughly three nonfatal shootings.1
I am surprised generally at the lack of solid data to rely on when trying to figure out best courses of action. It seems apparent that more permissive CCW laws don't cause problems. My impression was that the AWB had no effect at all (Columbine happened 5 years in), but that seems disputed now.Pinky wrote:The real lesson is that different countries are different. International comparisons that focus on one difference are silly.
That said, Australia's ban on certain weapons is mentioned as a gun control success. It's not clear that it should be.
The data on guns in the US suck. No one really knows who owns how many guns where. All of the research on both sides of the issue has relied on shitty proxies for gun ownership like magazine subscriptions and the number of gun suicides.Grandpa's Spells wrote:I am surprised generally at the lack of solid data to rely on when trying to figure out best courses of action. It seems apparent that more permissive CCW laws don't cause problems. My impression was that the AWB had no effect at all (Columbine happened 5 years in), but that seems disputed now.Pinky wrote:The real lesson is that different countries are different. International comparisons that focus on one difference are silly.
That said, Australia's ban on certain weapons is mentioned as a gun control success. It's not clear that it should be.
Some researchers have claimed dramatic effects, and some claim little to no effect. A quick look at the Leigh and Neill paper that is the source of the most dramatic claims leaves me unimpressed. Their results do not hold in models that account for the fact that the number of homicides can't be less than zero. The only cut and dry part was the expense borne by taxpayers.Australia seemed to be pretty cut and dry as "effective" though. Where does the doubt on its effectiveness?
Even this stat is not particularly revealing. Suicide by firearm is primarily done by white males (in 80-90% of cases if I recall), and rarely involves assault weapons. Homicide is concentrated in different demographic and income profiles, and rarely involves assault weapons. Grouping the two together seems pretty simplistic and unproductive.In 1996 (the most recent year for which data are available), 34,040 people died from gunfire in the United States. Of these deaths, approximately 54 percent resulted from suicide, 41 percent resulted from homicide, and 3 percent were unintentional (see figure 2). Firearm injuries are the eighth leading cause of death in the United States. In addition, for every fatal shooting, there are roughly three nonfatal shootings.1
These laws exist in many states, and they're relatively popular. If you examine the literature written by proponents of these laws, they present no evidence they work. However, the studies I saw were all pretty poorly constructed.syaigh wrote:For example, if a person has a restraining order for stalking or violence, should he or she still be able to buy a gun? We had a guy stalk his ex-wife for months and then shoot her in her place of work. The police could do nothing about the stalking and his gun was owned legally.
Depends on the market-- in areas with high rates of homicides committed by children, there tend to be strong anti-gun laws, the guns tend not to be legally owned, and there tends to be low NRA presence. A different focus on media coverage of sensational gun violence stories (like Columbine and Sandy Hook) would likely do more good-- they are more than capable of showing more restraint in their coverage.syaigh wrote:Could the NRA start an ad campaign on what it means to be a responsible gun owner? Would this help, would anyone listen? Could the risks of children having access to guns be more plainly stated in a way that makes an impression?
Extreme A vs Extreme B is sort of the way the US has turned out in most areas, including guns. It basically ensures that no real progress will be made outside of a half-baked "compromise" that really does nothing.syaigh wrote:I don't like the whole "take away guns" vs "I have a right to own guns" debate. I don't think it will go anywhere.
1 - The NRA does more gun safety education than ANY other organization.Terry B. wrote: My understanding is that the NRA used to be far more involved in areas related to gun safety, hunter safety and responsible gun ownership. Then, around thirty years ago, they decided to take the organization in a far more political direction which currently means staking out an extreme position and taking loudly to your base.
Given the number of guns we have in the US, accidental shooting are relatively rare.syaigh wrote:However, there are a lot of accidental and intentional shooting deaths every year with legally owned guns.
Is there anything we can do culturally or legally to stop this?
I would support this, but they would have to be very careful to not make the ads political. I'm not sure they could resist that temptation.Could the NRA start an ad campaign on what it means to be a responsible gun owner?
I still think you're a little too focused on reckless behavior. Accidents are bad, but our problems with guns are mostly suicide and criminals carrying guns. The first is a messy mental health issue, and the second is a matter of more (and better) enforcement.Again, I'm not being snarky or disrespectful. Having grown up with guns, they don't scare me and don't want them taken away. However, what people choose to do with them scares me a lot. And I don't think there is a public conversation on the role of society and responsible gun ownership as of yet.
As i read your bolded comment, it seems if he had a gun it was not legally.syaigh wrote:Just curious. And I'm not being facetious.
I don't like the whole "take away guns" vs "I have a right to own guns" debate. I don't think it will go anywhere.
I think there needs to be a cultural change in how we view guns and gun ownership. Yes, criminals will always get guns and I don't know what to do about that.
However, there are a lot of accidental and intentional shooting deaths every year with legally owned guns.
Is there anything we can do culturally or legally to stop this?
For example, if a person has a restraining order for stalking or violence, should he or she still be able to buy a gun? We had a guy stalk his ex-wife for months and then shoot her in her place of work. The police could do nothing about the stalking and his gun was owned legally.
If someone was doing irresponsible things with his or her gun, would peer pressure for responsible behavior have an effect? Ridiculous example, but do any of you remember the Simpsons episode when Homer got a gun and hosted an NRA meeting? (Everyone was disgusted with him and left.)
Could the NRA start an ad campaign on what it means to be a responsible gun owner? Would this help, would anyone listen? Could the risks of children having access to guns be more plainly stated in a way that makes an impression?
I don't know the answers to these questions, but it seems to me a middle ground needs to be reached and if we want to maintain our freedoms, we need to rise to the occasion and not just cling to the 2nd amendment. I think education could help. But, the current trend seems to be, "don't ask, don't tell, unless somebody gets shot".
Again, I'm not being snarky or disrespectful. Having grown up with guns, they don't scare me and don't want them taken away. However, what people choose to do with them scares me a lot. And I don't think there is a public conversation on the role of society and responsible gun ownership as of yet.
Then why are guns the go-to weapon of choice? Why don't we see bombs going off everywhere from the crazies and thugs?Screaming Flying Monkey wrote: Bad guys and crazy people who feel the urge to kill, will do so by any means, and they don't need guns.
Gangs the US have been using explosives. ATF&E has been working on that angle far years, trying to cut off the flow of explosives to drug gangs.nafod wrote:Then why are guns the go-to weapon of choice? Why don't we see bombs going off everywhere from the crazies and thugs?
Google "Booyah". Gangs do use shotguns. If an "assault weapon" appears anywhere near a crime scene it gets on the news.nafod wrote:Why, when he had a pistol and a shotgun, did the Rochester shooter go with the assault weapon? Why, when he had two pistols in his pocket, did the Sandy Point shooter go with the assault weapon? It would have been a lot cheaper, and as suggested by your argument just as easy to use a spork.
Amended that for you. It's very broad but the way I see it, it's not about guns, it's about violence.syaigh wrote:I think there needs to be a cultural change in how we value life.
One of the Columbine shooters chose to go with shotgun over assault rifle. And they prepared and detonated many homemade bombs. Not sure what an AWB would do against homemade bombs...nafod wrote:Why, when he had a pistol and a shotgun, did the Rochester shooter go with the assault weapon? Why, when he had two pistols in his pocket, did the Sandy Point shooter go with the assault weapon? It would have been a lot cheaper, and as suggested by your argument just as easy to use a spork.
From the website you linked to, one had an assault rifle, one had a Tec 9, they both had sawed off shotguns, they both fired off a lot more 9mm than shotgun shells.kreator wrote:
One of the Columbine shooters chose to go with shotgun over assault rifle. And they prepared and detonated many homemade bombs. Not sure what an AWB would do against homemade bombs...
http://acolumbinesite.com/weapon.html
While valid to a degree these types of arguments dodge the issue still.kreator wrote:One of the Columbine shooters chose to go with shotgun over assault rifle. And they prepared and detonated many homemade bombs. Not sure what an AWB would do against homemade bombs...nafod wrote:Why, when he had a pistol and a shotgun, did the Rochester shooter go with the assault weapon? Why, when he had two pistols in his pocket, did the Sandy Point shooter go with the assault weapon? It would have been a lot cheaper, and as suggested by your argument just as easy to use a spork.
http://acolumbinesite.com/weapon.html
The homemade bombs were a complete failure, despite the shooters intentions and efforts.kreator wrote:One of the Columbine shooters chose to go with shotgun over assault rifle. And they prepared and detonated many homemade bombs. Not sure what an AWB would do against homemade bombs...
http://acolumbinesite.com/weapon.html
He already owned a gun. He did not get it after the stalking incidents. So, theoretically, he could have been kept from getting a permit, or buying another, but it didn't matter because he already had a handgun and we don't require them to be registered in this state unless they are fully automatic. So, he had a legally owned gun. Granted, he could have run her over with a car or shot her with a crossbow or killed her with a chef's knife, but things like that make me wonder.JamesonBushmill wrote: As i read your bolded comment, it seems if he had a gun it was not legally.
http://www.atf.gov/firearms/faq/misdeme ... lence.html
Look again. Neither had an assault rifle, even by the false definition of "assault rifle" pushed into use by anti-gun advocacy groups.nafod wrote:From the website you linked to, one had an assault rifle, one had a Tec 9, they both had sawed off shotguns, they both fired off a lot more 9mm than shotgun shells.kreator wrote:
One of the Columbine shooters chose to go with shotgun over assault rifle. And they prepared and detonated many homemade bombs. Not sure what an AWB would do against homemade bombs...
http://acolumbinesite.com/weapon.html
The Tec 9 was banned under the 1994 AWB law. Whichever of the two that was using it carried a 50 round clip and a couple of 30s. As for the 995, if it looks like a duck and quacks like a duck...Pinky wrote:Look again. Neither had an assault rifle, even by the false definition of "assault rifle" pushed into use by anti-gun advocacy groups.nafod wrote:From the website you linked to, one had an assault rifle, one had a Tec 9, they both had sawed off shotguns, they both fired off a lot more 9mm than shotgun shells.kreator wrote:
One of the Columbine shooters chose to go with shotgun over assault rifle. And they prepared and detonated many homemade bombs. Not sure what an AWB would do against homemade bombs...
http://acolumbinesite.com/weapon.html