nafod wrote:OK, to play the other side of the argument...
1. Kerry wasn't lying when he said it has been the policy of the US Government since Reagan to promote the 2 state solution. Obama didn't create that policy, he maintained it. Reagan, Bush, Bush II are repubs, remember.
2. Under his term, Netanyahu has accelerated the settlements, which are in direct conflict with the two state solution that as policy we support,
3. while at the same time gladly taking over $24B in military assistance from us. Kind of a "fuck you" while sticking their hands in our pockets. I thought maybe he'd return it in protest. I mean after all...
Israel's economy also ranks 17th among the world's most economically developed nations, according to IMD's World Competitiveness Yearbook rankings. The Israeli economy was ranked as the world's most durable economy in the face of crises, and was also ranked first in the rate research and development center investments.[180]
They really need our money?
3. It is well-known that the Israelis spy on us like nobody's business, and Netanyahu's coming to address congress was as much a manipulation of an election as the Russians.
4. Does the UN pick on Israel? Yes. Is it going to change? Is whining going to change it? You know that answer to that one.
So HH, basically you are going to support a solution that involves apartheid? How'd that work out for South Africa? Or just push the Palestinians out of the West Bank to...where? Or out-breed them (you are) which means your population will double in 30-some years, which means you'll need land, which you will get from...where?
Not sure why the US of A needs to be deeply involved in this, why it is in our interest to get dragged into it, especially since you acknowledge realpolitik trumps ideals, and ideals of beacon of democracy in the middle east and stuff like that seem to be a core part of the reason to support Israel. The proxy cold war reason is pretty much gone? What is our interest in that mess?
Ok, one at a time.
1. 2-state solution was in the 1948 UN resolution. Israel accepted it, the Arab nations didn't, invaded, and ended up with Jordan administering the West Bank and Egypt administering Gaza. Probably a 2 or 3-state solution is what will happen one day when the Palestinians and the Arab Muslim world tire of war and dreaming of restoring the caliphate. The 3-state solution would be that West Bank becomes part of Jordan and Gaza becomes part of Egypt.
2. Netanyahu hasn't accelerated settlements outside the territory that in every peace plan would go to Israel. They have been primarily within the security fence in Area C. (see
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/West_Bank ... n_2005.png)
Plus I think the accepted view, though no one dare say it publicly (pre-Trump), is that Area C is vital to Israel's security. Having built settlements (now cities) there, facts have been created on the ground that make lasting, secure peace possible.
3. As to the money, America projects its power differently in different parts of the world. In some areas (Europe, Korea, Japan, etc.), we have extensive military troops and bases that run into the hundreds of billions plus the wars we wage. We've never had to stage troops in Israel, and Israel has never called on us to defend her. Between providing us intelligence, helping develop and testing weaponry, and serving as the only country in the Middle East that shares our Western ideals and democratic values, she is a good ally. Israel has one of the highest tax rates in the world and most of its citizens serve in the army - so she's not a slacker. My sense is that America benefits greatly from its alliance with Israel, and that the foreign aid we give her is effective, especially compared to the cost of other areas of the world we're involved in.
4.. The UN does a lot of good, but there are many parts that of it that don't. Whine - no. But speak up like Patrick Moynihan and Jean Kilpatrick - yes. And don't monkey around with the New Zealands of the world to engineer resolutions against allies.
5. Apartheid is one of those charges that's doesn't make sense. In Israel proper, about a quarter of the citizens are Arab. They presumably could leave at any time, but don't unless they get visas to USA or Europe. They live in the only free, prosperous country in the Middle East. They have parties in the Knesset, hold seats on the Supreme Court, and are actively integrated in every part of the country. Some, like the Druze, are in elite army units and hold many officer positions.
I don't think it makes sense for Israel to annex the area and make everyone citizens. They just have to make do until the Palestinians prefer normalcy more than war and dreams of the caliphate.
6. Our interest is in a world where our interests are protected. With Obama's relative withdrawal from the area, Russia and Turkey can probably resolve it, though my guess is that our ally the Kurds won't fare too well. Plus other countries have started to wonder whether we're reliable. Russia and Iran sent Arab immigrants pouring into Europe. Putin is probably quite pleased to see how the right wing parties are rising to power based on that. Iran is delighted to establish hegemony from its western border to the Mediterranean coast of Lebanon. Soon it will become emboldened more against Yemen, Saudi Arabia, and the other Gulf States, and it won't be too hard to destabilize Egypt and Jordan. Long term, do we care about safe passage through the Persian Gulf? Or what about safe passage only for Russia and China? Do we want to be facing a nuclear Iran with missiles that can reach our shores?
And on the positive side, do we want one democratic, free, prosperous state in the middle East to show the others what can be aspired to? What if in 50 years, the Middle East could become based on some version of capitalism, democracy, and liberty? That would make for a much safer world for our grandchildren. I'm not saying this is a good-odds bet, but we shouldn't abandon it either.
For better or worse, when America pulls back, chaos and power-players step in. That's why we want to stay involved and why Israel is so key to our interests.