Wild Bill wrote:Batboy2/75 wrote:This shit is getting boring.
Date of elections 25 May.
All "experts" said that Putin would invade before elections :))
So... not to much time to wait :)
The experts are idiots. Why invade before the elections? The results in these areas are almost a formality. The areas will vote to break away. The Ukraine Government, a government impose by a mob, will ironically cry fowl and do something stupid. Even if the areas don't, the Russians and their "Join Russia" allies can claim the Ukrainians rigged or depressed the vote. Putin will either invade or let things fester.
Letting things fester is a public relation disaster for the Ukrainians and let's Putin look "Statesmen" like. It's all a sham, but an effective one. All the chaos will drive the undecided Russian speakers into the join Russian camp. Only after things have festered for a while will Putin sweep in as the savior. My bet is Putin will let things fester. When your enemies are all busy shooting themselves in the foot, get out of the way.
Putin is a Judoka and a player of chess. He will use force only when he has his enemies unbalanced and Russia is at an extreme advantage. The corrupt and degenerate Western leaders fail to see this. They sadly believe they can reason with, buy off, and or bluff themselves and their mob installed Ukrainian friends out of this mess. They are very mistaken.
Also, western politicians and pundits are under the mistaken assumption that Russia is still in decline. Everything I've read or viewed coming out of Russia indicates a nation on the up swing.